Thursday, August 20, 2009

Daily Pfennig 8-20-2009

http://www.dailypfennig.com/

"...investment conference last week in Chicago, and listened to several good presentations on the current state of the economy. While every speaker had differing opinions on how to invest during the next few months, they all seemed to agree on one thing; the recent rally and 'recovery' would reverse, and the US will likely head back into another downturn. The timing of this next downturn is hard to pin down, but most believe we will see the US economy falter again toward the first quarter of 2010. If and when this occurs, the dollar could see a temporary rally as investors flee back into US treasuries. But longer term, everyone at the conference was in agreement with what Warren Buffet said in his op-ed piece yesterday: the US$ will ultimately lose value..."

"...
time of year again when Central bankers and economists from around the world have a boondoggle at Jackson Hole Wyoming... You might recall that last year they all hunkered down and tried to think of ways to keep the financial mess forum worsening, only to have Lehman Brothers collapse a few weeks later!

Well... I'm sure we're going to hear a lot of rhetoric about the "recession coming to an end"... but they have it all wrong! this isn't a recession it's a depression...

With pockets of risk remaining, such as the collapsing U.S. commercial real estate market, and the double digit unemployment rate... I would think that these guys who missed seeing the subprime meltdown coming and then when it was presented to them, told us it wouldn't filter out into the economy..."

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